ODD

ODD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.31)
DCF$28.17+128.8%
Graham Number$16.71+35.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$15.42+25.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $29.27M
Rev: 23.5% / EPS: 17.2%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$28.23
Current Price$12.31
Upside / Downside+129.3%
Net Debt (used)$194.45M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term15.5%19.5%23.5%27.5%31.5%
7.0%$31.66$38.03$45.30$53.55$62.89
8.0%$24.41$29.44$35.18$41.69$49.04
9.0%$19.43$23.54$28.23$33.54$39.55
10.0%$15.81$19.25$23.18$27.63$32.65
11.0%$13.06$16.01$19.36$23.15$27.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.80
Yahoo: $6.90

Results

Graham Number$16.71
Current Price$12.31
Margin of Safety+35.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$12.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.7%
Historical Revenue Growth23.5%
Historical Earnings Growth17.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$29.27M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$12.31
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $129.46M
Current: 7.0×
Default: $194.45M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15.42
Current Price$12.31
Upside / Downside+25.3%
Implied EV$902.19M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.81B-$805.55M$194.45M$1.19B$2.19B
3.0x$47.72$25.93$4.14$-17.65$-39.44
5.0x$53.36$31.57$9.78$-12.01$-33.80
7.0x$59.00$37.21$15.42$-6.37$-28.16
9.0x$64.64$42.85$21.06$-0.73$-22.52
11.0x$70.29$48.50$26.71$4.92$-16.88