OESX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($10.38)
DCF	$-6.56	-163.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$895,375

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 7.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.02%

Computed WACC: 6.02%

Cost of equity (Re)7.86%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.65 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)76.56%

Debt weight (D/V)23.44%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-10.59

Current Price$10.38

Upside / Downside-202.0%

Net Debt (used)$8.16M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-0.3%	3.7%	7.7%	11.7%	15.7%
7.0%	$-6.67	$-7.60	$-8.67	$-9.91	$-11.34
8.0%	$-5.82	$-6.57	$-7.43	$-8.42	$-9.56
9.0%	$-5.23	$-5.85	$-6.56	$-7.38	$-8.33
10.0%	$-4.80	$-5.33	$-5.93	$-6.63	$-7.43
11.0%	$-4.47	$-4.93	$-5.45	$-6.05	$-6.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.37

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.33

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$10.38

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.02%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.02%

Cost of equity (Re)7.86%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.65 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)76.56%

Debt weight (D/V)23.44%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$10.38

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth7.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$895,375

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$10.38

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$1.17M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -44.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $8.16M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.88

Current Price$10.38

Upside / Downside+4.8%

Implied EV$52.25M

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