OFLX

OFLX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($37.31)
DCF$27.58-26.1%
Graham Number$17.27-53.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.0%
DDM$28.02-24.9%
EV/EBITDA$37.30-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.33M
Rev: -2.6% / EPS: -20.1%
Computed: 6.68%
Computed WACC: 6.68%
Cost of equity (Re)6.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.71%
Debt weight (D/V)1.29%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$40.60
Current Price$37.31
Upside / Downside+8.8%
Net Debt (used)-$44.43M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$27.78$32.51$38.00$44.37$51.70
8.0%$23.62$27.42$31.84$36.95$42.83
9.0%$20.74$23.90$27.58$31.82$36.69
10.0%$18.62$21.32$24.45$28.06$32.20
11.0%$17.00$19.35$22.06$25.19$28.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.59
Yahoo: $8.34

Results

Graham Number$17.27
Current Price$37.31
Margin of Safety-53.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.68%
Computed WACC: 6.68%
Cost of equity (Re)6.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.71%
Debt weight (D/V)1.29%

Results

Current Price$37.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-20.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$13.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.02
Current Price$37.31
Upside / Downside-24.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $20.09M
Current: 16.5×
Default: -$44.43M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$37.30
Current Price$37.31
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$332.09M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.04B-$1.04B-$44.43M$955.57M$1.96B
12.5x$227.47$128.41$29.34$-69.73$-168.79
14.5x$231.45$132.39$33.32$-65.75$-164.81
16.5x$235.43$136.37$37.30$-61.77$-160.83
18.5x$239.41$140.35$41.28$-57.79$-156.85
20.5x$243.39$144.33$45.26$-53.80$-152.87