OFS

OFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.20)
DCF$-21.96-622.9%
Graham Number$7.41+76.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$14.01+233.5%
EV/EBITDA$4.20+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.60M
Rev: -3.4% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.25%
Computed WACC: 6.25%
Cost of equity (Re)9.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.05%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)19.25%
Debt weight (D/V)80.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-25.46
Current Price$4.20
Upside / Downside-706.3%
Net Debt (used)$231.07M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-22.00$-22.97$-24.08$-25.38$-26.87
8.0%$-21.16$-21.93$-22.83$-23.87$-25.07
9.0%$-20.57$-21.22$-21.96$-22.83$-23.82
10.0%$-20.14$-20.69$-21.33$-22.06$-22.90
11.0%$-19.81$-20.29$-20.84$-21.48$-22.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.24
Yahoo: $10.17

Results

Graham Number$7.41
Current Price$4.20
Margin of Safety+76.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.25%
Computed WACC: 6.25%
Cost of equity (Re)9.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.05%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)19.25%
Debt weight (D/V)80.75%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$4.20
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-3.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.60M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$14.01
Current Price$4.20
Upside / Downside+233.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $29.99M
Current: 9.6×
Default: $231.07M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.20
Current Price$4.20
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$287.35M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.77B-$768.93M$231.07M$1.23B$2.23B
5.6x$144.52$69.88$-4.75$-79.39$-154.03
7.6x$149.00$74.36$-0.28$-74.91$-149.55
9.6x$153.48$78.84$4.20$-70.44$-145.07
11.6x$157.95$83.32$8.68$-65.96$-140.60
13.6x$162.43$87.79$13.16$-61.48$-136.12