OGEN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($0.83)
DCF	$-20.81	-2602.2%
Graham Number	$50.58	+5981.2%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$5.57M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.33%

Computed WACC: 9.33%

Cost of equity (Re)10.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)89.78%

Debt weight (D/V)10.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-19.66

Current Price$0.83

Upside / Downside-2464.4%

Net Debt (used)-$11.01M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-21.01	$-25.80	$-31.36	$-37.80	$-45.22
8.0%	$-16.80	$-20.65	$-25.13	$-30.29	$-36.24
9.0%	$-13.89	$-17.09	$-20.81	$-25.10	$-30.03
10.0%	$-11.75	$-14.48	$-17.65	$-21.30	$-25.49
11.0%	$-10.11	$-12.48	$-15.23	$-18.39	$-22.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $47.73

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.38

Results

Graham Number$50.58

Current Price$0.83

Margin of Safety+5981.2%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.33%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.33%

Cost of equity (Re)10.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)89.78%

Debt weight (D/V)10.22%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$0.83

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$5.57M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$0.83

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$11.01M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.64

Current Price$0.83

Upside / Downside+217.6%

Implied EV$0

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