OGI

OGI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.42)
DCF$-56.75-4096.5%
Graham Number$2.22+56.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1.83+28.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$39.61M
Rev: 48.7% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-56.65
Current Price$1.42
Upside / Downside-4089.6%
Net Debt (used)$71,000
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term40.7%44.7%48.7%52.7%56.7%
7.0%$-68.35$-78.47$-89.76$-102.32$-116.27
8.0%$-53.42$-61.29$-70.08$-79.85$-90.70
9.0%$-43.23$-49.57$-56.65$-64.52$-73.26
10.0%$-35.87$-41.11$-46.96$-53.46$-60.67
11.0%$-30.34$-34.76$-39.68$-45.15$-51.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.11
Yahoo: $2.00

Results

Graham Number$2.22
Current Price$1.42
Margin of Safety+56.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth48.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$39.61M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.42
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.43M
Current: 45.5×
Default: $71,000

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.83
Current Price$1.42
Upside / Downside+28.7%
Implied EV$246.98M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$999.93M$71,000$1.00B$2.00B
41.5x$16.47$9.07$1.67$-5.73$-13.13
43.5x$16.55$9.15$1.75$-5.65$-13.05
45.5x$16.63$9.23$1.83$-5.57$-12.97
47.5x$16.71$9.31$1.91$-5.49$-12.89
49.5x$16.79$9.39$1.99$-5.41$-12.81