OHI

OHI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($47.35)
DCF$225.11+375.4%
Graham Number$27.66-41.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.4%
DDM$55.21+16.6%
EV/EBITDA$48.99+3.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $759.89M
Rev: 14.3% / EPS: 34.6%
Computed: 6.48%
Computed WACC: 6.48%
Cost of equity (Re)7.30%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.55 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.73%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.99%
Debt weight (D/V)23.01%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$415.66
Current Price$47.35
Upside / Downside+777.8%
Net Debt (used)$4.27B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term26.6%30.6%34.6%38.6%42.6%
7.0%$262.04$307.30$358.37$415.79$480.16
8.0%$203.76$239.23$279.25$324.23$374.62
9.0%$163.86$192.65$225.11$261.58$302.42
10.0%$134.97$158.92$185.91$216.22$250.17
11.0%$113.17$133.47$156.35$182.02$210.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $17.53

Results

Graham Number$27.66
Current Price$47.35
Margin of Safety-41.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.48%
Computed WACC: 6.48%
Cost of equity (Re)7.30%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.55 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.73%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.99%
Debt weight (D/V)23.01%

Results

Current Price$47.35
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.2%
Historical Revenue Growth14.3%
Historical Earnings Growth34.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$759.89M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$55.21
Current Price$47.35
Upside / Downside+16.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.07B
Current: 17.5×
Default: $4.27B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$48.99
Current Price$47.35
Upside / Downside+3.5%
Implied EV$18.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.27B$3.27B$4.27B$5.27B$6.27B
13.5x$41.28$37.90$34.52$31.13$27.75
15.5x$48.52$45.14$41.75$38.37$34.99
17.5x$55.75$52.37$48.99$45.60$42.22
19.5x$62.99$59.61$56.22$52.84$49.46
21.5x$70.22$66.84$63.46$60.07$56.69