OIA

OIA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.40)
DCF$-4.23-166.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$7.21+12.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.68M
Rev: 0.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4.23
Current Price$6.40
Upside / Downside-166.2%
Net Debt (used)$137.23M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-4.25$-4.52$-4.84$-5.22$-5.64
8.0%$-4.00$-4.22$-4.48$-4.78$-5.13
9.0%$-3.83$-4.02$-4.23$-4.48$-4.77
10.0%$-3.71$-3.87$-4.05$-4.26$-4.50
11.0%$-3.62$-3.75$-3.91$-4.09$-4.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.31
Yahoo: $5.84

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$6.40
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$6.40
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth0.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.68M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.35

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.21
Current Price$6.40
Upside / Downside+12.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $137.23M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-2.88
Current Price$6.40
Upside / Downside-145.0%
Implied EV$0