OLPX

OLPX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.51)
DCF$1.30-14.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1.52+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $53.16M
Rev: -3.8% / EPS: -16.6%
Computed: 14.19%
Computed WACC: 14.19%
Cost of equity (Re)16.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.13%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.17%
Debt weight (D/V)25.83%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.67
Current Price$1.51
Upside / Downside-55.6%
Net Debt (used)$65.72M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1.31$1.60$1.93$2.31$2.75
8.0%$1.06$1.29$1.56$1.87$2.22
9.0%$0.89$1.08$1.30$1.56$1.85
10.0%$0.76$0.92$1.11$1.33$1.58
11.0%$0.66$0.80$0.97$1.16$1.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.00
Yahoo: $1.33

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$1.51
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 14.19%
Computed WACC: 14.19%
Cost of equity (Re)16.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.24 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.13%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.17%
Debt weight (D/V)25.83%

Results

Current Price$1.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-16.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$53.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.51
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $65.16M
Current: 16.6×
Default: $65.72M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.52
Current Price$1.51
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$1.08B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$934.28M$65.72M$1.07B$2.07B
12.6x$4.13$2.63$1.13$-0.37$-1.87
14.6x$4.32$2.82$1.32$-0.17$-1.67
16.6x$4.52$3.02$1.52$0.02$-1.48
18.6x$4.71$3.21$1.72$0.22$-1.28
20.6x$4.91$3.41$1.91$0.41$-1.09