ON

ON — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($66.48)
DCF$67.72+1.9%
Graham Number$11.23-83.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$66.53+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56B
Rev: -11.2% / EPS: -48.7%
Computed: 11.34%
Computed WACC: 11.34%
Cost of equity (Re)12.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.16%
Debt weight (D/V)10.84%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$49.12
Current Price$66.48
Upside / Downside-26.1%
Net Debt (used)$705.60M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$68.32$82.50$98.99$118.08$140.07
8.0%$55.85$67.26$80.51$95.83$113.46
9.0%$47.20$56.70$67.72$80.45$95.06
10.0%$40.85$48.96$58.35$69.17$81.59
11.0%$35.99$43.04$51.18$60.56$71.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.29
Yahoo: $19.34

Results

Graham Number$11.23
Current Price$66.48
Margin of Safety-83.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.34%
Computed WACC: 11.34%
Cost of equity (Re)12.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)89.16%
Debt weight (D/V)10.84%

Results

Current Price$66.48
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.2%
Historical Earnings Growth-48.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.56B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$66.48
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.76B
Current: 15.3×
Default: $705.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$66.53
Current Price$66.48
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Implied EV$26.92B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.29B-$294.40M$705.60M$1.71B$2.71B
11.3x$53.78$51.24$48.71$46.17$43.63
13.3x$62.69$60.15$57.62$55.08$52.54
15.3x$71.60$69.07$66.53$63.99$61.45
17.3x$80.51$77.98$75.44$72.90$70.36
19.3x$89.42$86.89$84.35$81.81$79.27