OPXS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($13.68)
DCF	$9.52	-30.4%
Graham Number	$7.25	-47.0%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 18.3%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$12.86	-6.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $2.40M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 11.6% / EPS: -75.0%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.76%

Computed WACC: 7.76%

Cost of equity (Re)7.91%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.66 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.15%

Debt weight (D/V)1.85%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$11.80

Current Price$13.68

Upside / Downside-13.8%

Net Debt (used)-$4.06M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	3.6%	7.6%	11.6%	15.6%	19.6%
7.0%	$9.93	$11.73	$13.82	$16.22	$18.96
8.0%	$8.17	$9.61	$11.27	$13.19	$15.37
9.0%	$6.95	$8.15	$9.52	$11.10	$12.89
10.0%	$6.07	$7.08	$8.24	$9.57	$11.09
11.0%	$5.39	$6.26	$7.26	$8.41	$9.72

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.65

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.59

Results

Graham Number$7.25

Current Price$13.68

Margin of Safety-47.0%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.76%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.76%

Cost of equity (Re)7.91%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.66 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.15%

Debt weight (D/V)1.85%

Results

Current Price$13.68

Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.2%

Historical Revenue Growth11.6%

Historical Earnings Growth-75.0%

Base FCF (TTM)$2.40M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$13.68

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $6.84M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 12.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$4.06M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.86

Current Price$13.68

Upside / Downside-6.0%

Implied EV$85.14M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.00B	-$1.00B	-$4.06M	$995.94M	$2.00B
8.4x	$297.21	$153.06	$8.91	$-135.23	$-279.38
10.4x	$299.18	$155.03	$10.89	$-133.26	$-277.41
12.4x	$301.15	$157.01	$12.86	$-131.29	$-275.44
14.4x	$303.12	$158.98	$14.83	$-129.32	$-273.46
16.4x	$305.10	$160.95	$16.80	$-127.34	$-271.49

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