ORA

ORA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($107.15)
DCF$-240.29-324.3%
Graham Number$46.01-57.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$9.89-90.8%
EV/EBITDA$109.68+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$291.52M
Rev: 19.6% / EPS: -24.4%
Computed: 6.31%
Computed WACC: 6.31%
Cost of equity (Re)9.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.51%
Debt weight (D/V)30.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-400.15
Current Price$107.15
Upside / Downside-473.4%
Net Debt (used)$2.71B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term11.6%15.6%19.6%23.6%27.6%
7.0%$-257.26$-296.13$-340.61$-391.31$-448.86
8.0%$-215.14$-245.94$-281.16$-321.27$-366.77
9.0%$-186.17$-211.43$-240.29$-273.13$-310.37
10.0%$-165.08$-186.31$-210.55$-238.12$-269.36
11.0%$-149.07$-167.25$-188.00$-211.58$-238.28

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.25
Yahoo: $41.81

Results

Graham Number$46.01
Current Price$107.15
Margin of Safety-57.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.31%
Computed WACC: 6.31%
Cost of equity (Re)9.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.87 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.51%
Debt weight (D/V)30.49%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$107.15
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth19.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-24.4%
Base FCF (TTM)-$291.52M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.89
Current Price$107.15
Upside / Downside-90.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $467.13M
Current: 20.1×
Default: $2.71B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$109.68
Current Price$107.15
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$9.38B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$709.33M$1.71B$2.71B$3.71B$4.71B
16.1x$111.85$95.40$78.94$62.49$46.04
18.1x$127.22$110.77$94.31$77.86$61.41
20.1x$142.59$126.14$109.68$93.23$76.78
22.1x$157.96$141.51$125.06$108.60$92.15
24.1x$173.33$156.88$140.43$123.97$107.52