ORBS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.08)
DCF	$-25.79	-2487.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$291.32M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -12.5% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 19.47%

Computed WACC: 19.47%

Cost of equity (Re)20.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.94 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.25%

Debt weight (D/V)4.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.68

Current Price$1.08

Upside / Downside-996.3%

Net Debt (used)-$13.08M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-26.01	$-31.28	$-37.42	$-44.52	$-52.69
8.0%	$-21.37	$-25.61	$-30.54	$-36.24	$-42.80
9.0%	$-18.15	$-21.69	$-25.79	$-30.52	$-35.95
10.0%	$-15.79	$-18.81	$-22.30	$-26.33	$-30.95
11.0%	$-13.99	$-16.61	$-19.64	$-23.12	$-27.12

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-3.47

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.81

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.08

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 19.47%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 19.47%

Cost of equity (Re)20.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.94 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.25%

Debt weight (D/V)4.75%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.08

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-12.5%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$291.32M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.08

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$7.90M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -25.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$13.08M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.08

Current Price$1.08

Upside / Downside-0.2%

Implied EV$200.17M

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