ORC

ORC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.44)
DCF$-50.80-782.8%
Graham Number$14.50+94.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$29.66+298.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 1003.1% / EPS: 793.8%
Computed: 1.60%
Computed WACC: 1.60%
Cost of equity (Re)13.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.67 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)11.88%
Debt weight (D/V)88.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$7.44
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$9.31B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term995.1%999.1%1003.1%1007.1%1011.1%
7.0%$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80
8.0%$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80
9.0%$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80
10.0%$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80
11.0%$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80$-50.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.24
Yahoo: $7.54

Results

Graham Number$14.50
Current Price$7.44
Margin of Safety+94.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 1.60%
Computed WACC: 1.60%
Cost of equity (Re)13.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.67 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)11.88%
Debt weight (D/V)88.12%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$7.44
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth1003.1%
Historical Earnings Growth793.8%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$7.44
Upside / Downside+298.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $9.31B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-50.80
Current Price$7.44
Upside / Downside-782.8%
Implied EV$0