ORGO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($3.00)
DCF	$-26546471.32	-884882477.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$4.09	+36.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$50.10M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 78.1% / EPS: 555.2%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.82%

Computed WACC: 9.82%

Cost of equity (Re)11.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.39 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)82.25%

Debt weight (D/V)17.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-22102463.70

Current Price$3.00

Upside / Downside-736748890.1%

Net Debt (used)-$13.79M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	547.2%	551.2%	555.2%	559.2%	563.2%
7.0%	$-42286079.33	$-43609066.38	$-44964961.56	$-46354375.01	$-47777924.36
8.0%	$-31936955.62	$-32936152.91	$-33960204.33	$-35009570.68	$-36084718.44
9.0%	$-24964912.59	$-25745977.82	$-26546471.32	$-27366753.30	$-28207188.40
10.0%	$-20003417.12	$-20629253.68	$-21270657.32	$-21927916.68	$-22601323.91
11.0%	$-16330425.60	$-16841346.52	$-17364976.10	$-17901549.95	$-18451306.61

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.08

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.36

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$3.00

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.82%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.82%

Cost of equity (Re)11.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.39 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)82.25%

Debt weight (D/V)17.75%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$3.00

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth78.1%

Historical Earnings Growth555.2%

Base FCF (TTM)-$50.10M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$3.00

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $74.98M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 6.7×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$13.79M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.09

Current Price$3.00

Upside / Downside+36.5%

Implied EV$505.90M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.01B	-$1.01B	-$13.79M	$986.21M	$1.99B
2.7x	$17.49	$9.61	$1.73	$-6.15	$-14.03
4.7x	$18.67	$10.79	$2.91	$-4.97	$-12.85
6.7x	$19.85	$11.97	$4.09	$-3.78	$-11.66
8.7x	$21.04	$13.16	$5.28	$-2.60	$-10.48
10.7x	$22.22	$14.34	$6.46	$-1.42	$-9.30

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