ORLA

ORLA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($21.62)
DCF$43127.31+199378.8%
Graham Number$2.47-88.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.3%
DDM$1.24-94.3%
EV/EBITDA$21.62-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $495.74M
Rev: 176.9% / EPS: 133.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$43071.90
Current Price$21.62
Upside / Downside+199122.5%
Net Debt (used)$73.64M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term168.9%172.9%176.9%180.9%184.9%
7.0%$61983.77$66730.87$71764.50$77097.44$82742.84
8.0%$47199.49$50813.84$54646.33$58706.68$63004.90
9.0%$37203.09$40051.55$43071.90$46271.81$49659.17
10.0%$30060.81$32362.06$34802.17$37387.33$40123.90
11.0%$24750.51$26644.92$28653.63$30781.73$33034.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.16
Yahoo: $1.70

Results

Graham Number$2.47
Current Price$21.62
Margin of Safety-88.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$21.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.3%
Historical Revenue Growth176.9%
Historical Earnings Growth133.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$495.74M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.06

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.24
Current Price$21.62
Upside / Downside-94.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $428.65M
Current: 17.3×
Default: $73.64M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.62
Current Price$21.62
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$7.42B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$926.36M$73.64M$1.07B$2.07B
13.3x$22.46$19.52$16.58$13.63$10.69
15.3x$24.98$22.04$19.10$16.16$13.21
17.3x$27.50$24.56$21.62$18.68$15.74
19.3x$30.03$27.08$24.14$21.20$18.26
21.3x$32.55$29.61$26.66$23.72$20.78