OSK

OSK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($172.14)
DCF$54.05-68.6%
Graham Number$127.75-25.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.4%
DDM$46.97-72.7%
EV/EBITDA$172.14+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $243.72M
Rev: 3.5% / EPS: -10.1%
Computed: 11.66%
Computed WACC: 11.66%
Cost of equity (Re)11.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.77%
Debt weight (D/V)11.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$33.96
Current Price$172.14
Upside / Downside-80.3%
Net Debt (used)$898.20M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$54.64$68.59$84.82$103.61$125.25
8.0%$42.36$53.59$66.64$81.71$99.06
9.0%$33.85$43.20$54.05$66.57$80.95
10.0%$27.61$35.58$44.82$55.47$67.70
11.0%$22.83$29.76$37.77$47.00$57.58

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.02
Yahoo: $72.38

Results

Graham Number$127.75
Current Price$172.14
Margin of Safety-25.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.66%
Computed WACC: 11.66%
Cost of equity (Re)11.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.84%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.77%
Debt weight (D/V)11.23%

Results

Current Price$172.14
Implied Near-term FCF Growth30.1%
Historical Revenue Growth3.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-10.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$243.72M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$46.97
Current Price$172.14
Upside / Downside-72.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.18B
Current: 9.9×
Default: $898.20M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$172.14
Current Price$172.14
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$11.67B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.10B-$101.80M$898.20M$1.90B$2.90B
5.9x$128.89$112.90$96.92$80.93$64.94
7.9x$166.50$150.52$134.53$118.54$102.55
9.9x$204.12$188.13$172.14$156.15$140.17
11.9x$241.73$225.74$209.75$193.77$177.78
13.9x$279.34$263.35$247.37$231.38$215.39