OSPN

OSPN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.48)
DCF$302.72+2788.6%
Graham Number$15.62+49.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -6.8%
DDM$10.09-3.7%
EV/EBITDA$10.33-1.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $38.48M
Rev: 2.9% / EPS: 57.4%
Computed: 12.48%
Computed WACC: 12.48%
Cost of equity (Re)12.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.95%
Debt weight (D/V)2.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$167.91
Current Price$10.48
Upside / Downside+1502.2%
Net Debt (used)-$62.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term49.4%53.4%57.4%61.4%65.4%
7.0%$373.30$425.18$482.73$546.39$616.65
8.0%$290.80$331.04$375.67$425.03$479.51
9.0%$234.58$266.89$302.72$342.35$386.07
10.0%$194.06$220.66$250.16$282.77$318.75
11.0%$163.65$185.97$210.72$238.07$268.24

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.49
Yahoo: $7.28

Results

Graham Number$15.62
Current Price$10.48
Margin of Safety+49.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.48%
Computed WACC: 12.48%
Cost of equity (Re)12.74%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.95%
Debt weight (D/V)2.05%

Results

Current Price$10.48
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.1%
Historical Revenue Growth2.9%
Historical Earnings Growth57.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$38.48M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.49

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.09
Current Price$10.48
Upside / Downside-3.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $60.94M
Current: 5.4×
Default: -$62.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.33
Current Price$10.48
Upside / Downside-1.5%
Implied EV$330.56M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.06B-$1.06B-$62.10M$937.90M$1.94B
1.4x$56.51$30.21$3.92$-22.38$-48.68
3.4x$59.71$33.42$7.12$-19.18$-45.47
5.4x$62.92$36.62$10.33$-15.97$-42.27
7.4x$66.13$39.83$13.53$-12.77$-39.06
9.4x$69.33$43.03$16.74$-9.56$-35.86