OSW

OSW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.49)
DCF$12.85-37.3%
Graham Number$9.11-55.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.3%
DDM$4.12-79.9%
EV/EBITDA$21.04+2.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $53.88M
Rev: 11.5% / EPS: -9.1%
Computed: 9.44%
Computed WACC: 9.44%
Cost of equity (Re)9.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.67%
Debt weight (D/V)4.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$11.95
Current Price$20.49
Upside / Downside-41.7%
Net Debt (used)$78.13M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.5%7.5%11.5%15.5%19.5%
7.0%$13.49$16.25$19.44$23.11$27.30
8.0%$10.81$13.01$15.56$18.48$21.82
9.0%$8.95$10.78$12.88$15.29$18.04
10.0%$7.60$9.14$10.92$12.96$15.28
11.0%$6.57$7.90$9.43$11.18$13.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.69
Yahoo: $5.35

Results

Graham Number$9.11
Current Price$20.49
Margin of Safety-55.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.44%
Computed WACC: 9.44%
Cost of equity (Re)9.87%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.67%
Debt weight (D/V)4.33%

Results

Current Price$20.49
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.6%
Historical Revenue Growth11.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$53.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$20.49
Upside / Downside-79.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $115.67M
Current: 19.1×
Default: $78.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.04
Current Price$20.49
Upside / Downside+2.7%
Implied EV$2.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.92B-$921.87M$78.13M$1.08B$2.08B
15.1x$36.19$26.34$16.48$6.62$-3.23
17.1x$38.47$28.62$18.76$8.90$-0.95
19.1x$40.75$30.90$21.04$11.18$1.33
21.1x$43.03$33.18$23.32$13.46$3.61
23.1x$45.31$35.46$25.60$15.74$5.89