OTEX

OTEX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.51)
DCF$52.24+113.1%
Graham Number$24.84+1.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -3.0%
DDM$22.45-8.4%
EV/EBITDA$24.51+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.05B
Rev: -0.6% / EPS: -23.9%
Computed: 5.00%
Computed WACC: 5.00%
Cost of equity (Re)10.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.60%
Debt weight (D/V)51.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$171.25
Current Price$24.51
Upside / Downside+598.7%
Net Debt (used)$5.32B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$52.87$67.85$85.28$105.45$128.69
8.0%$39.68$51.74$65.75$81.94$100.57
9.0%$30.55$40.59$52.24$65.68$81.13
10.0%$23.84$32.41$42.33$53.77$66.89
11.0%$18.71$26.15$34.76$44.67$56.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.69
Yahoo: $16.23

Results

Graham Number$24.84
Current Price$24.51
Margin of Safety+1.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.00%
Computed WACC: 5.00%
Cost of equity (Re)10.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.60%
Debt weight (D/V)51.40%

Results

Current Price$24.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-15.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-23.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.05B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.09

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$22.45
Current Price$24.51
Upside / Downside-8.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.52B
Current: 7.6×
Default: $5.32B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.51
Current Price$24.51
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$11.46B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.32B$4.32B$5.32B$6.32B$7.32B
3.6x$8.27$4.28$0.29$-3.70$-7.69
5.6x$20.38$16.39$12.40$8.41$4.42
7.6x$32.50$28.50$24.51$20.52$16.53
9.6x$44.61$40.62$36.63$32.64$28.65
11.6x$56.72$52.73$48.74$44.75$40.76