OTLY

OTLY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.30)
DCF$-28.47-351.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$17.61M
Rev: 9.1% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-28.45
Current Price$11.30
Upside / Downside-351.8%
Net Debt (used)$495.89M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.1%5.1%9.1%13.1%17.1%
7.0%$-28.85$-31.40$-34.35$-37.75$-41.66
8.0%$-26.45$-28.50$-30.86$-33.58$-36.69
9.0%$-24.80$-26.49$-28.45$-30.70$-33.27
10.0%$-23.59$-25.03$-26.69$-28.59$-30.77
11.0%$-22.66$-23.91$-25.34$-26.98$-28.86

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-5.00
Yahoo: $0.59

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$11.30
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$17.61M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$11.30
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$26.11M
Current: -298.9×
Default: $495.89M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$234.04
Current Price$11.30
Upside / Downside+1971.1%
Implied EV$7.80B