OVBC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($42.63)
DCF	$-1.78	-104.2%
Graham Number	$51.88	+21.7%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$18.95	-55.5%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -3.4% / EPS: 57.3%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.22%

Computed WACC: 3.22%

Cost of equity (Re)4.09%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.04 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)78.73%

Debt weight (D/V)21.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.78

Current Price$42.63

Upside / Downside-104.2%

Net Debt (used)$8.37M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	49.3%	53.3%	57.3%	61.3%	65.3%
7.0%	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78
8.0%	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78
9.0%	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78
10.0%	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78
11.0%	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78	$-1.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $3.31

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $36.14

Results

Graham Number$51.88

Current Price$42.63

Margin of Safety+21.7%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.22%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.22%

Cost of equity (Re)4.09%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.04 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)78.73%

Debt weight (D/V)21.27%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$42.63

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-3.4%

Historical Earnings Growth57.3%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.92

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.95

Current Price$42.63

Upside / Downside-55.5%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $8.37M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1.78

Current Price$42.63

Upside / Downside-104.2%

Implied EV$0

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