OVV

OVV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($52.16)
DCF$-108.59-308.2%
Graham Number$68.94+32.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$24.72-52.6%
EV/EBITDA$50.59-3.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$1.40B
Rev: -6.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.48%
Computed WACC: 7.48%
Cost of equity (Re)8.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.06%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.70%
Debt weight (D/V)30.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-135.47
Current Price$52.16
Upside / Downside-359.7%
Net Debt (used)$6.10B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-109.33$-127.09$-147.74$-171.64$-199.18
8.0%$-93.71$-108.00$-124.60$-143.78$-165.86
9.0%$-82.89$-94.79$-108.59$-124.52$-142.82
10.0%$-74.94$-85.09$-96.85$-110.40$-125.95
11.0%$-68.86$-77.68$-87.87$-99.62$-113.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.78
Yahoo: $44.20

Results

Graham Number$68.94
Current Price$52.16
Margin of Safety+32.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.48%
Computed WACC: 7.48%
Cost of equity (Re)8.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.06%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.70%
Debt weight (D/V)30.30%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$52.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-6.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$1.40B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$52.16
Upside / Downside-52.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.27B
Current: 4.8×
Default: $6.10B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$50.59
Current Price$52.16
Upside / Downside-3.0%
Implied EV$20.44B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.10B$4.10B$6.10B$8.10B$10.10B
0.8x$4.38$-2.68$-9.73$-16.79$-23.85
2.8x$34.54$27.49$20.43$13.37$6.31
4.8x$64.71$57.65$50.59$43.53$36.47
6.8x$94.87$87.81$80.75$73.69$66.63
8.8x$125.03$117.97$110.91$103.85$96.80