OWL

OWL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.64)
DCF$599.53+5532.0%
Graham Number$2.73-74.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -8.5%
DDM$18.54+74.2%
EV/EBITDA$16.33+53.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.35B
Rev: 19.7% / EPS: 57.4%
Computed: 8.44%
Computed WACC: 8.44%
Cost of equity (Re)10.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.13%
Debt weight (D/V)18.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$675.23
Current Price$10.64
Upside / Downside+6243.2%
Net Debt (used)$3.67B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term49.4%53.4%57.4%61.4%65.4%
7.0%$741.35$845.61$961.25$1089.18$1230.37
8.0%$575.57$656.43$746.12$845.32$954.78
9.0%$462.59$527.53$599.53$679.16$767.02
10.0%$381.17$434.63$493.90$559.44$631.73
11.0%$320.06$364.92$414.64$469.61$530.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.10
Yahoo: $3.31

Results

Graham Number$2.73
Current Price$10.64
Margin of Safety-74.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.44%
Computed WACC: 8.44%
Cost of equity (Re)10.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.11 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.13%
Debt weight (D/V)18.87%

Results

Current Price$10.64
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-9.7%
Historical Revenue Growth19.7%
Historical Earnings Growth57.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.35B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.90

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.54
Current Price$10.64
Upside / Downside+74.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.24B
Current: 11.8×
Default: $3.67B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.33
Current Price$10.64
Upside / Downside+53.4%
Implied EV$14.54B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.67B$2.67B$3.67B$4.67B$5.67B
7.8x$11.91$10.41$8.90$7.40$5.90
9.8x$15.62$14.12$12.62$11.12$9.61
11.8x$19.34$17.84$16.33$14.83$13.33
13.8x$23.05$21.55$20.05$18.55$17.04
15.8x$26.77$25.27$23.76$22.26$20.76