OWLT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($12.19)
DCF	$-11.76	-196.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$2.06M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 44.6% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 14.02%

Computed WACC: 14.02%

Cost of equity (Re)13.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.74 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)20.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)93.10%

Debt weight (D/V)6.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.45

Current Price$12.19

Upside / Downside-144.7%

Net Debt (used)$1.19M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	36.6%	40.6%	44.6%	48.6%	52.6%
7.0%	$-14.01	$-16.14	$-18.53	$-21.18	$-24.14
8.0%	$-10.99	$-12.65	$-14.51	$-16.58	$-18.88
9.0%	$-8.92	$-10.26	$-11.76	$-13.43	$-15.29
10.0%	$-7.43	$-8.54	$-9.78	$-11.16	$-12.70
11.0%	$-6.31	$-7.24	$-8.29	$-9.45	$-10.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.81

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-3.28

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$12.19

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 14.02%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 14.02%

Cost of equity (Re)13.89%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.74 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)20.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)93.10%

Debt weight (D/V)6.90%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$12.19

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth44.6%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$2.06M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$12.19

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$10.55M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -33.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.59

Current Price$12.19

Upside / Downside+3.3%

Implied EV$348.54M

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