OXLCO

OXLCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.66)
DCF$315.69+1234.1%
Graham Number$19.39-18.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -6.4%
DDM$30.90+30.6%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $171.91M
Rev: 29.5% / EPS: -77.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$316.28
Current Price$23.66
Upside / Downside+1236.6%
Net Debt (used)$685.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.5%25.5%29.5%33.5%37.5%
7.0%$360.78$425.29$498.41$580.99$673.92
8.0%$282.14$332.86$390.33$455.20$528.18
9.0%$228.23$269.52$316.28$369.03$428.35
10.0%$189.13$223.59$262.58$306.56$355.99
11.0%$159.58$188.88$222.02$259.38$301.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.87
Yahoo: $19.19

Results

Graham Number$19.39
Current Price$23.66
Margin of Safety-18.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$23.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-6.4%
Historical Revenue Growth29.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-77.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$171.91M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.90
Current Price$23.66
Upside / Downside+30.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $685.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-18.84
Current Price$23.66
Upside / Downside-179.6%
Implied EV$0