OXSQ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.77)
DCF	$-2.76	-255.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$8.65	+389.6%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$7.09M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -1.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.41%

Computed WACC: 3.41%

Cost of equity (Re)7.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)48.80%

Debt weight (D/V)51.20%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-12.24

Current Price$1.77

Upside / Downside-792.6%

Net Debt (used)$100.60M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-2.77	$-3.08	$-3.44	$-3.86	$-4.34
8.0%	$-2.50	$-2.75	$-3.04	$-3.37	$-3.76
9.0%	$-2.31	$-2.51	$-2.76	$-3.03	$-3.35
10.0%	$-2.17	$-2.34	$-2.55	$-2.79	$-3.06
11.0%	$-2.06	$-2.21	$-2.39	$-2.60	$-2.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.03

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.95

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.77

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.41%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.41%

Cost of equity (Re)7.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)48.80%

Debt weight (D/V)51.20%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.77

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-1.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$7.09M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.42

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.65

Current Price$1.77

Upside / Downside+389.6%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $100.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1.23

Current Price$1.77

Upside / Downside-169.7%

Implied EV$0

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