PAGP

PAGP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.97)
DCF$-56.26-344.9%
Graham Number$13.08-43.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$34.40+49.8%
EV/EBITDA$88.03+283.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -14.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.32%
Computed WACC: 2.32%
Cost of equity (Re)7.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.83%
Debt weight (D/V)68.17%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$22.97
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$11.13B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26
8.0%$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26
9.0%$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26
10.0%$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26
11.0%$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26$-56.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.12
Yahoo: $6.79

Results

Graham Number$13.08
Current Price$22.97
Margin of Safety-43.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.32%
Computed WACC: 2.32%
Cost of equity (Re)7.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)31.83%
Debt weight (D/V)68.17%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$22.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-14.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.67

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$34.40
Current Price$22.97
Upside / Downside+49.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.30B
Current: 12.4×
Default: $11.13B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$88.03
Current Price$22.97
Upside / Downside+283.2%
Implied EV$28.55B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.13B$8.13B$11.13B$14.13B$17.13B
8.4x$71.82$56.66$41.50$26.34$11.18
10.4x$95.08$79.92$64.76$49.60$34.44
12.4x$118.35$103.19$88.03$72.87$57.71
14.4x$141.62$126.46$111.30$96.14$80.98
16.4x$164.88$149.72$134.56$119.40$104.24