PANL

PANL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.98)
DCF$341.25+3700.2%
Graham Number$6.60-26.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 10.1%
DDM$4.12-54.1%
EV/EBITDA$10.02+11.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $36.86M
Rev: 10.2% / EPS: 72.7%
Computed: 9.23%
Computed WACC: 9.23%
Cost of equity (Re)8.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.49%
Debt weight (D/V)39.51%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$325.80
Current Price$8.98
Upside / Downside+3528.1%
Net Debt (used)$288.62M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term64.7%68.7%72.7%76.7%80.7%
7.0%$437.64$493.61$555.12$622.58$696.40
8.0%$337.48$380.68$428.16$480.23$537.21
9.0%$269.35$303.88$341.83$383.43$428.95
10.0%$220.36$248.66$279.74$313.83$351.11
11.0%$183.69$207.31$233.27$261.72$292.85

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.30
Yahoo: $6.45

Results

Graham Number$6.60
Current Price$8.98
Margin of Safety-26.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.23%
Computed WACC: 9.23%
Cost of equity (Re)8.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)13.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.49%
Debt weight (D/V)39.51%

Results

Current Price$8.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.7%
Historical Revenue Growth10.2%
Historical Earnings Growth72.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$36.86M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$8.98
Upside / Downside-54.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $76.50M
Current: 12.3×
Default: $288.62M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.02
Current Price$8.98
Upside / Downside+11.6%
Implied EV$939.50M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.71B-$711.38M$288.62M$1.29B$2.29B
8.3x$36.09$20.70$5.31$-10.08$-25.47
10.3x$38.44$23.05$7.66$-7.73$-23.12
12.3x$40.80$25.41$10.02$-5.37$-20.76
14.3x$43.15$27.76$12.37$-3.02$-18.41
16.3x$45.51$30.12$14.73$-0.66$-16.05