PATH

PATH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.79)
DCF$33.05+206.5%
Graham Number$5.83-45.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -7.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$12.46+15.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $420.57M
Rev: 15.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.05%
Computed WACC: 10.05%
Cost of equity (Re)10.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.07 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.60%
Debt weight (D/V)1.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$28.43
Current Price$10.79
Upside / Downside+163.6%
Net Debt (used)-$1.32B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term7.9%11.9%15.9%19.9%23.9%
7.0%$35.17$41.23$48.20$56.17$65.26
8.0%$28.90$33.72$39.26$45.59$52.79
9.0%$24.59$28.55$33.10$38.30$44.21
10.0%$21.44$24.79$28.62$32.99$37.96
11.0%$19.05$21.92$25.21$28.96$33.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.42
Yahoo: $3.60

Results

Graham Number$5.83
Current Price$10.79
Margin of Safety-45.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.05%
Computed WACC: 10.05%
Cost of equity (Re)10.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.07 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.60%
Debt weight (D/V)1.40%

Results

Current Price$10.79
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.7%
Historical Revenue Growth15.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$420.57M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$10.79
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $36.38M
Current: 121.6×
Default: -$1.32B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$12.46
Current Price$10.79
Upside / Downside+15.5%
Implied EV$4.42B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.32B-$1.32B-$1.32B-$1.32B-$1.32B
117.6x$12.15$12.15$12.15$12.15$12.15
119.6x$12.30$12.30$12.30$12.30$12.30
121.6x$12.46$12.46$12.46$12.46$12.46
123.6x$12.62$12.62$12.62$12.62$12.62
125.6x$12.78$12.78$12.78$12.78$12.78