PATK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($123.82)
DCF	$7135.78	+5663.0%
Graham Number	$55.93	-54.8%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 16.1%
DDM	$38.73	-68.7%
EV/EBITDA	$123.82	-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $166.95M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 9.2% / EPS: 92.3%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.47%

Computed WACC: 8.47%

Cost of equity (Re)11.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)73.40%

Debt weight (D/V)26.60%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$8040.38

Current Price$123.82

Upside / Downside+6393.6%

Net Debt (used)$1.47B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	84.3%	88.3%	92.3%	96.3%	100.3%
7.0%	$9455.24	$10527.76	$11695.15	$12963.59	$14339.50
8.0%	$7264.60	$8088.94	$8986.16	$9960.99	$11018.37
9.0%	$5777.47	$6433.36	$7147.20	$7922.75	$8763.93
10.0%	$4710.24	$5245.27	$5827.54	$6460.10	$7146.17
11.0%	$3912.95	$4357.72	$4841.71	$5367.49	$5937.70

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $3.90

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $35.65

Results

Graham Number$55.93

Current Price$123.82

Margin of Safety-54.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.47%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.47%

Cost of equity (Re)11.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)73.40%

Debt weight (D/V)26.60%

Results

Current Price$123.82

Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.5%

Historical Revenue Growth9.2%

Historical Earnings Growth92.3%

Base FCF (TTM)$166.95M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.88

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.73

Current Price$123.82

Upside / Downside-68.7%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $446.20M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 12.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.47B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$123.82

Current Price$123.82

Upside / Downside-0.0%

Implied EV$5.58B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.47B	$1.47B	$1.47B	$1.47B	$1.47B
8.5x	$70.11	$70.11	$70.11	$70.11	$70.11
10.5x	$96.97	$96.97	$96.97	$96.97	$96.97
12.5x	$123.82	$123.82	$123.82	$123.82	$123.82
14.5x	$150.67	$150.67	$150.67	$150.67	$150.67
16.5x	$177.52	$177.52	$177.52	$177.52	$177.52

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