PAY

PAY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.74)
DCF$408.60+1551.6%
Graham Number$7.23-70.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -2.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$49.48+100.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $112.78M
Rev: 28.1% / EPS: 51.7%
Computed: 12.52%
Computed WACC: 12.52%
Cost of equity (Re)12.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.50 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.78%
Debt weight (D/V)0.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$229.05
Current Price$24.74
Upside / Downside+825.8%
Net Debt (used)-$314.05M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term43.7%47.7%51.7%55.7%59.7%
7.0%$496.87$568.22$647.66$735.88$833.57
8.0%$388.75$444.21$505.95$574.49$650.38
9.0%$315.00$359.63$409.30$464.44$525.47
10.0%$261.80$298.62$339.59$385.06$435.39
11.0%$221.83$252.79$287.23$325.45$367.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.52
Yahoo: $4.46

Results

Graham Number$7.23
Current Price$24.74
Margin of Safety-70.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.52%
Computed WACC: 12.52%
Cost of equity (Re)12.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.50 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.78%
Debt weight (D/V)0.22%

Results

Current Price$24.74
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.5%
Historical Revenue Growth28.1%
Historical Earnings Growth51.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$112.78M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$24.74
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $83.29M
Current: 33.6×
Default: -$314.05M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$49.48
Current Price$24.74
Upside / Downside+100.0%
Implied EV$2.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.31B-$1.31B-$314.05M$685.95M$1.69B
29.6x$75.99$60.08$44.18$28.27$12.36
31.6x$78.64$62.73$46.83$30.92$15.01
33.6x$81.29$65.38$49.48$33.57$17.66
35.6x$83.94$68.03$52.13$36.22$20.31
37.6x$86.59$70.68$54.78$38.87$22.96