PAYC

PAYC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($128.30)
DCF$122.05-4.9%
Graham Number$76.71-40.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.1%
DDM$30.90-75.9%
EV/EBITDA$128.30+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $260.98M
Rev: 10.2% / EPS: 2.1%
Computed: 8.69%
Computed WACC: 8.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.81 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.77%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.73%
Debt weight (D/V)1.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$128.29
Current Price$128.30
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Net Debt (used)-$279.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.2%6.2%10.2%14.2%18.2%
7.0%$126.47$150.15$177.53$209.04$245.14
8.0%$103.89$122.83$144.71$169.85$198.63
9.0%$88.30$103.97$122.05$142.82$166.56
10.0%$76.89$90.18$105.50$123.07$143.14
11.0%$68.19$79.67$92.89$108.03$125.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.08
Yahoo: $32.36

Results

Graham Number$76.71
Current Price$128.30
Margin of Safety-40.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.69%
Computed WACC: 8.69%
Cost of equity (Re)8.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.81 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.77%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.73%
Debt weight (D/V)1.27%

Results

Current Price$128.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.2%
Historical Revenue Growth10.2%
Historical Earnings Growth2.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$260.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.50

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.90
Current Price$128.30
Upside / Downside-75.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $634.50M
Current: 10.3×
Default: -$279.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$128.30
Current Price$128.30
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$6.54B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.28B-$1.28B-$279.70M$720.30M$1.72B
6.3x$118.18$99.37$80.56$61.75$42.94
8.3x$142.05$123.24$104.43$85.62$66.81
10.3x$165.93$147.11$128.30$109.49$90.68
12.3x$189.80$170.99$152.17$133.36$114.55
14.3x$213.67$194.86$176.05$157.23$138.42