PAYS

PAYS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.63)
DCF$-14.75-506.3%
Graham Number$1.56-57.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$3.63-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$4.18M
Rev: 41.6% / EPS: 48.8%
Computed: 9.59%
Computed WACC: 9.59%
Cost of equity (Re)9.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.05%
Debt weight (D/V)2.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-13.16
Current Price$3.63
Upside / Downside-462.7%
Net Debt (used)-$1.45M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term40.8%44.8%48.8%52.8%56.8%
7.0%$-17.80$-20.44$-23.39$-26.66$-30.30
8.0%$-13.91$-15.96$-18.25$-20.80$-23.63
9.0%$-11.25$-12.90$-14.75$-16.80$-19.08
10.0%$-9.33$-10.70$-12.22$-13.91$-15.79
11.0%$-7.89$-9.04$-10.32$-11.74$-13.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.13
Yahoo: $0.83

Results

Graham Number$1.56
Current Price$3.63
Margin of Safety-57.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.59%
Computed WACC: 9.59%
Cost of equity (Re)9.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)97.05%
Debt weight (D/V)2.95%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth41.6%
Historical Earnings Growth48.8%
Base FCF (TTM)-$4.18M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$3.63
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.79M
Current: 14.4×
Default: -$1.45M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.63
Current Price$3.63
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$198.35M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$1.00B-$1.45M$998.55M$2.00B
10.4x$38.96$20.80$2.63$-15.54$-33.71
12.4x$39.46$21.30$3.13$-15.04$-33.21
14.4x$39.97$21.80$3.63$-14.54$-32.71
16.4x$40.47$22.30$4.13$-14.04$-32.20
18.4x$40.97$22.80$4.63$-13.54$-31.70