PCG

PCG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.00)
DCF$-54.85-388.7%
Graham Number$19.34+1.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12-78.3%
EV/EBITDA$19.83+4.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.41B
Rev: 2.6% / EPS: -3.3%
Computed: 2.58%
Computed WACC: 2.58%
Cost of equity (Re)6.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)40.51%
Debt weight (D/V)59.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-2271.86
Current Price$19.00
Upside / Downside-12057.2%
Net Debt (used)$60.62B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-55.08$-60.64$-67.11$-74.60$-83.23
8.0%$-50.19$-54.66$-59.86$-65.87$-72.79
9.0%$-46.80$-50.52$-54.85$-59.84$-65.57
10.0%$-44.31$-47.49$-51.17$-55.42$-60.29
11.0%$-42.40$-45.16$-48.36$-52.04$-56.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.18
Yahoo: $14.09

Results

Graham Number$19.34
Current Price$19.00
Margin of Safety+1.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.58%
Computed WACC: 2.58%
Cost of equity (Re)6.36%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)40.51%
Debt weight (D/V)59.49%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$19.00
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.3%
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.41B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$19.00
Upside / Downside-78.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.98B
Current: 10.4×
Default: $60.62B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.83
Current Price$19.00
Upside / Downside+4.4%
Implied EV$104.21B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$30.62B$45.62B$60.62B$75.62B$90.62B
6.4x$15.32$8.50$1.67$-5.15$-11.98
8.4x$24.40$17.58$10.75$3.93$-2.90
10.4x$33.48$26.66$19.83$13.01$6.18
12.4x$42.56$35.74$28.91$22.09$15.26
14.4x$51.64$44.82$37.99$31.17$24.34