PCYO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($10.56)
DCF	$63.37	+500.1%
Graham Number	$8.86	-16.1%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 23.7%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$10.56	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $4.77M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 58.8% / EPS: 18.5%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 11.20%

Computed WACC: 11.20%

Cost of equity (Re)11.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.95%

Debt weight (D/V)3.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$42.66

Current Price$10.56

Upside / Downside+304.0%

Net Debt (used)-$9.13M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	50.8%	54.8%	58.8%	62.8%	66.8%
7.0%	$78.40	$89.19	$101.15	$114.37	$128.94
8.0%	$61.04	$69.41	$78.68	$88.92	$100.22
9.0%	$49.22	$55.93	$63.37	$71.59	$80.65
10.0%	$40.70	$46.22	$52.34	$59.10	$66.56
11.0%	$34.30	$38.94	$44.07	$49.74	$55.98

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.57

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $6.12

Results

Graham Number$8.86

Current Price$10.56

Margin of Safety-16.1%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 11.20%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 11.20%

Cost of equity (Re)11.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.32 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.95%

Debt weight (D/V)3.05%

Results

Current Price$10.56

Implied Near-term FCF Growth30.3%

Historical Revenue Growth58.8%

Historical Earnings Growth18.5%

Base FCF (TTM)$4.77M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$10.56

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $12.67M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 19.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$9.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.56

Current Price$10.56

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$245.27M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.01B	-$1.01B	-$9.13M	$990.87M	$1.99B
15.4x	$91.48	$49.97	$8.46	$-33.05	$-74.56
17.4x	$92.53	$51.02	$9.51	$-32.00	$-73.51
19.4x	$93.58	$52.07	$10.56	$-30.95	$-72.46
21.4x	$94.63	$53.12	$11.61	$-29.90	$-71.41
23.4x	$95.68	$54.17	$12.66	$-28.85	$-70.36

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