PEG

PEG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($84.50)
DCF$-56.25-166.6%
Graham Number$56.50-33.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$55.21-34.7%
EV/EBITDA$84.43-0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$105.00M
Rev: 18.3% / EPS: 10.5%
Computed: 6.21%
Computed WACC: 6.21%
Cost of equity (Re)7.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.60%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.51%
Debt weight (D/V)36.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-63.16
Current Price$84.50
Upside / Downside-174.7%
Net Debt (used)$24.10B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.3%14.3%18.3%22.3%26.3%
7.0%$-56.91$-58.50$-60.32$-62.41$-64.77
8.0%$-55.21$-56.47$-57.92$-59.57$-61.44
9.0%$-54.04$-55.08$-56.27$-57.62$-59.15
10.0%$-53.19$-54.06$-55.06$-56.20$-57.48
11.0%$-52.55$-53.29$-54.15$-55.12$-56.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.16
Yahoo: $34.10

Results

Graham Number$56.50
Current Price$84.50
Margin of Safety-33.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.21%
Computed WACC: 6.21%
Cost of equity (Re)7.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.60%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.51%
Debt weight (D/V)36.49%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$84.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth18.3%
Historical Earnings Growth10.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$105.00M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$55.21
Current Price$84.50
Upside / Downside-34.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.50B
Current: 14.7×
Default: $24.10B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$84.43
Current Price$84.50
Upside / Downside-0.1%
Implied EV$66.24B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$12.10B$18.10B$24.10B$30.10B$36.10B
10.7x$72.38$60.35$48.33$36.31$24.29
12.7x$90.42$78.40$66.38$54.36$42.34
14.7x$108.47$96.45$84.43$72.41$60.39
16.7x$126.51$114.49$102.47$90.45$78.43
18.7x$144.56$132.54$120.52$108.50$96.48