PENG

PENG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.05)
DCF$48.11+139.9%
Graham Number$6.06-69.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -9.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$24.87+24.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $147.90M
Rev: 0.6% / EPS: -61.1%
Computed: 10.92%
Computed WACC: 10.92%
Cost of equity (Re)16.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.56%
Debt weight (D/V)33.44%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$36.72
Current Price$20.05
Upside / Downside+83.1%
Net Debt (used)$67.95M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$48.53$58.61$70.33$83.90$99.53
8.0%$39.67$47.78$57.20$68.09$80.61
9.0%$33.52$40.28$48.11$57.15$67.54
10.0%$29.01$34.77$41.45$49.14$57.97
11.0%$25.56$30.57$36.35$43.02$50.66

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.22
Yahoo: $7.41

Results

Graham Number$6.06
Current Price$20.05
Margin of Safety-69.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.92%
Computed WACC: 10.92%
Cost of equity (Re)16.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.20 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.56%
Debt weight (D/V)33.44%

Results

Current Price$20.05
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.4%
Historical Revenue Growth0.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-61.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$147.90M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$20.05
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $139.36M
Current: 9.9×
Default: $67.95M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.87
Current Price$20.05
Upside / Downside+24.0%
Implied EV$1.37B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$932.05M$67.95M$1.07B$2.07B
5.9x$52.31$33.29$14.26$-4.77$-23.79
7.9x$57.62$38.59$19.56$0.54$-18.49
9.9x$62.92$43.89$24.87$5.84$-13.18
11.9x$68.22$49.20$30.17$11.14$-7.88
13.9x$73.52$54.50$35.47$16.45$-2.58