PFD

PFD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.90)
DCF$0.53-95.6%
Graham Number$16.53+38.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.8%
DDM$16.07+35.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.58M
Rev: -0.9% / EPS: -13.5%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.53
Current Price$11.90
Upside / Downside-95.6%
Net Debt (used)$91.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$0.59$2.15$3.95$6.04$8.45
8.0%$-0.77$0.48$1.93$3.61$5.54
9.0%$-1.72$-0.68$0.53$1.92$3.52
10.0%$-2.42$-1.53$-0.50$0.69$2.05
11.0%$-2.95$-2.18$-1.28$-0.26$0.92

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.96
Yahoo: $12.65

Results

Graham Number$16.53
Current Price$11.90
Margin of Safety+38.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$11.90
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-0.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-13.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$5.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.78

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.07
Current Price$11.90
Upside / Downside+35.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $91.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-7.09
Current Price$11.90
Upside / Downside-159.6%
Implied EV$0