PFG

PFG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($95.83)
DCF$90.42-5.6%
Graham Number$80.36-16.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 6.1%
DDM$64.48-32.7%
EV/EBITDA$98.17+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.04B
Rev: -3.7% / EPS: -40.9%
Computed: 7.56%
Computed WACC: 7.56%
Cost of equity (Re)9.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.95%
Debt weight (D/V)17.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$114.65
Current Price$95.83
Upside / Downside+19.6%
Net Debt (used)-$1.37B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$91.15$108.30$128.27$151.37$177.98
8.0%$76.05$89.86$105.90$124.44$145.77
9.0%$65.59$77.09$90.42$105.82$123.51
10.0%$57.91$67.72$79.08$92.18$107.21
11.0%$52.03$60.55$70.41$81.75$94.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.25
Yahoo: $54.67

Results

Graham Number$80.36
Current Price$95.83
Margin of Safety-16.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.56%
Computed WACC: 7.56%
Cost of equity (Re)9.12%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.95%
Debt weight (D/V)17.05%

Results

Current Price$95.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.9%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-40.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.04B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.13

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$64.48
Current Price$95.83
Upside / Downside-32.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.73B
Current: 11.5×
Default: -$1.37B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$98.17
Current Price$95.83
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$19.92B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.37B-$1.37B-$1.37B-$1.37B-$1.37B
7.5x$66.25$66.25$66.25$66.25$66.25
9.5x$82.21$82.21$82.21$82.21$82.21
11.5x$98.17$98.17$98.17$98.17$98.17
13.5x$114.13$114.13$114.13$114.13$114.13
15.5x$130.09$130.09$130.09$130.09$130.09