PG

PG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($163.51)
DCF$88.53-45.9%
Graham Number$58.45-64.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.7%
DDM$87.14-46.7%
EV/EBITDA$163.07-0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.25B
Rev: 1.5% / EPS: -5.4%
Computed: 5.83%
Computed WACC: 5.83%
Cost of equity (Re)6.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.38 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.26%
Debt weight (D/V)8.74%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$184.49
Current Price$163.51
Upside / Downside+12.8%
Net Debt (used)$25.81B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$89.38$109.69$133.32$160.67$192.16
8.0%$71.51$87.86$106.85$128.80$154.04
9.0%$59.13$72.74$88.53$106.75$127.69
10.0%$50.04$61.65$75.10$90.60$108.39
11.0%$43.08$53.17$64.83$78.27$93.66

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.75
Yahoo: $22.49

Results

Graham Number$58.45
Current Price$163.51
Margin of Safety-64.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.83%
Computed WACC: 5.83%
Cost of equity (Re)6.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.38 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.26%
Debt weight (D/V)8.74%

Results

Current Price$163.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.2%
Historical Revenue Growth1.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-5.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$13.25B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.23

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$87.14
Current Price$163.51
Upside / Downside-46.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $24.76B
Current: 16.4×
Default: $25.81B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$163.07
Current Price$163.51
Upside / Downside-0.3%
Implied EV$406.86B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$13.81B$19.81B$25.81B$31.81B$37.81B
12.4x$125.81$123.24$120.68$118.11$115.54
14.4x$147.01$144.44$141.87$139.31$136.74
16.4x$168.20$165.64$163.07$160.50$157.93
18.4x$189.40$186.83$184.27$181.70$179.13
20.4x$210.60$208.03$205.46$202.89$200.33