PLOW

PLOW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($46.89)
DCF$622.09+1226.7%
Graham Number$23.20-50.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.4%
DDM$24.31-48.2%
EV/EBITDA$45.92-2.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.91M
Rev: 28.6% / EPS: 63.9%
Computed: 9.32%
Computed WACC: 9.32%
Cost of equity (Re)11.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.26 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.14%
Debt weight (D/V)16.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$581.59
Current Price$46.89
Upside / Downside+1140.3%
Net Debt (used)$210.72M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term55.9%59.9%63.9%67.9%71.9%
7.0%$780.61$886.26$1002.98$1131.60$1273.01
8.0%$603.63$685.41$775.73$875.26$984.67
9.0%$483.13$548.66$621.03$700.75$788.39
10.0%$396.38$450.21$509.65$575.13$647.10
11.0%$331.34$376.41$426.17$480.98$541.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.96
Yahoo: $12.20

Results

Graham Number$23.20
Current Price$46.89
Margin of Safety-50.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.32%
Computed WACC: 9.32%
Cost of equity (Re)11.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.26 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.14%
Debt weight (D/V)16.86%

Results

Current Price$46.89
Implied Near-term FCF Growth18.4%
Historical Revenue Growth28.6%
Historical Earnings Growth63.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$35.91M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.18

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.31
Current Price$46.89
Upside / Downside-48.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $88.99M
Current: 14.3×
Default: $210.72M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.92
Current Price$46.89
Upside / Downside-2.1%
Implied EV$1.27B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.79B-$789.28M$210.72M$1.21B$2.21B
10.3x$117.14$73.82$30.50$-12.82$-56.14
12.3x$124.85$81.53$38.21$-5.11$-48.43
14.3x$132.56$89.24$45.92$2.60$-40.72
16.3x$140.26$96.95$53.63$10.31$-33.01
18.3x$147.97$104.66$61.34$18.02$-25.30