PM

PM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($186.83)
DCF$83.30-55.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.1%
DDM$121.13-35.2%
EV/EBITDA$188.09+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.94B
Rev: 6.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.60%
Computed WACC: 5.60%
Cost of equity (Re)6.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.43%
Debt weight (D/V)14.57%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$210.34
Current Price$186.83
Upside / Downside+12.6%
Net Debt (used)$44.72B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.2%2.8%6.8%10.8%14.8%
7.0%$85.41$108.23$134.72$165.31$200.48
8.0%$64.76$83.08$104.32$128.82$156.96
9.0%$50.46$65.68$83.30$103.61$126.90
10.0%$39.98$52.93$67.92$85.16$104.91
11.0%$31.96$43.20$56.17$71.08$88.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.27
Yahoo: $-6.42

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$186.83
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.60%
Computed WACC: 5.60%
Cost of equity (Re)6.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.43%
Debt weight (D/V)14.57%

Results

Current Price$186.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.2%
Historical Revenue Growth6.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$8.94B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$121.13
Current Price$186.83
Upside / Downside-35.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $18.72B
Current: 18.0×
Default: $44.72B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$188.09
Current Price$186.83
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$337.52B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$22.72B$33.72B$44.72B$55.72B$66.72B
14.0x$154.12$147.05$139.98$132.92$125.85
16.0x$178.17$171.10$164.04$156.97$149.90
18.0x$202.22$195.16$188.09$181.02$173.96
20.0x$226.28$219.21$212.14$205.08$198.01
22.0x$250.33$243.26$236.20$229.13$222.07