PODD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($242.85)
DCF	$166.68	-31.4%
Graham Number	$41.05	-83.1%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 38.1%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$245.45	+1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $154.90M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 31.2% / EPS: 3.9%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 11.52%

Computed WACC: 11.52%

Cost of equity (Re)12.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.46%

Debt weight (D/V)5.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$109.42

Current Price$242.85

Upside / Downside-54.9%

Net Debt (used)$286.60M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	23.2%	27.2%	31.2%	35.2%	39.2%
7.0%	$190.59	$223.25	$260.22	$301.91	$348.76
8.0%	$150.02	$175.68	$204.71	$237.42	$274.18
9.0%	$122.23	$143.09	$166.68	$193.26	$223.11
10.0%	$102.08	$119.47	$139.13	$161.26	$186.11
11.0%	$86.86	$101.63	$118.32	$137.11	$158.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $3.48

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $21.53

Results

Graham Number$41.05

Current Price$242.85

Margin of Safety-83.1%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 11.52%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 11.52%

Cost of equity (Re)12.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.44 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.46%

Debt weight (D/V)5.54%

Results

Current Price$242.85

Implied Near-term FCF Growth46.5%

Historical Revenue Growth31.2%

Historical Earnings Growth3.9%

Base FCF (TTM)$154.90M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$242.85

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $564.20M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 31.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: $286.60M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$245.45

Current Price$242.85

Upside / Downside+1.1%

Implied EV$17.57B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.71B	-$713.40M	$286.60M	$1.29B	$2.29B
27.1x	$241.80	$227.60	$213.39	$199.19	$184.98
29.1x	$257.83	$243.63	$229.42	$215.21	$201.01
31.1x	$273.86	$259.66	$245.45	$231.24	$217.04
33.1x	$289.89	$275.68	$261.48	$247.27	$233.07
35.1x	$305.92	$291.71	$277.51	$263.30	$249.10

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