POST

POST — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($106.30)
DCF$-23.74-122.3%
Graham Number$93.94-11.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$106.54+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $255.55M
Rev: 10.1% / EPS: -3.9%
Computed: 5.14%
Computed WACC: 5.14%
Cost of equity (Re)6.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.63%
Debt weight (D/V)57.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$174.42
Current Price$106.30
Upside / Downside+64.1%
Net Debt (used)$7.18B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.1%6.1%10.1%14.1%18.1%
7.0%$-18.81$6.80$36.42$70.50$109.56
8.0%$-43.20$-22.71$0.95$28.15$59.28
9.0%$-60.04$-43.09$-23.53$-1.07$24.62
10.0%$-72.36$-57.99$-41.42$-22.41$-0.70
11.0%$-81.77$-69.34$-55.05$-38.66$-19.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.44
Yahoo: $72.09

Results

Graham Number$93.94
Current Price$106.30
Margin of Safety-11.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.14%
Computed WACC: 5.14%
Cost of equity (Re)6.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.63%
Debt weight (D/V)57.37%

Results

Current Price$106.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth6.5%
Historical Revenue Growth10.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$255.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$106.30
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.42B
Current: 8.6×
Default: $7.18B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$106.54
Current Price$106.30
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$12.29B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.18B$5.18B$7.18B$9.18B$11.18B
4.6x$71.28$29.58$-12.13$-53.83$-95.54
6.6x$130.61$88.91$47.20$5.50$-36.20
8.6x$189.94$148.24$106.54$64.83$23.13
10.6x$249.28$207.57$165.87$124.16$82.46
12.6x$308.61$266.91$225.20$183.50$141.79