PR

PR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.79)
DCF$-35.83-290.7%
Graham Number$18.64-0.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$12.57-33.1%
EV/EBITDA$22.01+17.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$103.41M
Rev: -9.8% / EPS: 51.6%
Computed: 6.19%
Computed WACC: 6.19%
Cost of equity (Re)7.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.11%
Debt weight (D/V)20.89%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-67.44
Current Price$18.79
Upside / Downside-458.9%
Net Debt (used)$3.54B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term43.6%47.6%51.6%55.6%59.6%
7.0%$-42.55$-48.03$-54.14$-60.92$-68.43
8.0%$-34.24$-38.51$-43.25$-48.52$-54.36
9.0%$-28.58$-32.01$-35.83$-40.07$-44.76
10.0%$-24.49$-27.32$-30.47$-33.97$-37.84
11.0%$-21.42$-23.80$-26.45$-29.39$-32.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.12
Yahoo: $13.79

Results

Graham Number$18.64
Current Price$18.79
Margin of Safety-0.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.19%
Computed WACC: 6.19%
Cost of equity (Re)7.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.11%
Debt weight (D/V)20.89%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$18.79
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-9.8%
Historical Earnings Growth51.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$103.41M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.61

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.57
Current Price$18.79
Upside / Downside-33.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.95B
Current: 5.0×
Default: $3.54B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$22.01
Current Price$18.79
Upside / Downside+17.2%
Implied EV$19.94B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.54B$2.54B$3.54B$4.54B$5.54B
1.0x$3.50$2.15$0.81$-0.53$-1.87
3.0x$14.10$12.75$11.41$10.07$8.73
5.0x$24.70$23.36$22.01$20.67$19.33
7.0x$35.30$33.96$32.62$31.27$29.93
9.1x$45.90$44.56$43.22$41.88$40.53