PRGO

PRGO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.34)
DCF$-17.82-244.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 36.2%
DDM$23.90+93.6%
EV/EBITDA$13.22+7.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $49.33M
Rev: -2.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.00%
Computed WACC: 2.00%
Cost of equity (Re)6.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)30.61%
Debt weight (D/V)69.39%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$3.32B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-17.77$-16.48$-14.99$-13.26$-11.27
8.0%$-18.90$-17.86$-16.66$-15.28$-13.68
9.0%$-19.68$-18.82$-17.82$-16.67$-15.35
10.0%$-20.25$-19.52$-18.67$-17.69$-16.57
11.0%$-20.69$-20.06$-19.32$-18.47$-17.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.21
Yahoo: $21.33

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$12.34
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.00%
Computed WACC: 2.00%
Cost of equity (Re)6.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)30.61%
Debt weight (D/V)69.39%

Results

Current Price$12.34
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$49.33M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.90
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+93.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $713.30M
Current: 7.2×
Default: $3.32B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.22
Current Price$12.34
Upside / Downside+7.2%
Implied EV$5.14B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.32B$2.32B$3.32B$4.32B$5.32B
3.2x$7.03$-0.24$-7.51$-14.77$-22.04
5.2x$17.39$10.12$2.86$-4.41$-11.67
7.2x$27.76$20.49$13.22$5.96$-1.31
9.2x$38.12$30.86$23.59$16.32$9.06
11.2x$48.49$41.22$33.96$26.69$19.42