PSA

PSA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($310.94)
DCF$181.16-41.7%
Graham Number$75.26-75.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.5%
DDM$247.20-20.5%
EV/EBITDA$336.26+8.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.38B
Rev: 3.3% / EPS: -19.3%
Computed: 8.48%
Computed WACC: 8.48%
Cost of equity (Re)9.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.11%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.18%
Debt weight (D/V)15.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$202.08
Current Price$310.94
Upside / Downside-35.0%
Net Debt (used)$9.94B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$183.21$231.70$288.12$353.42$428.63
8.0%$140.53$179.57$224.91$277.32$337.61
9.0%$110.96$143.47$181.16$224.68$274.68
10.0%$89.26$116.98$149.10$186.12$228.60
11.0%$72.64$96.73$124.59$156.66$193.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $9.02
Yahoo: $27.91

Results

Graham Number$75.26
Current Price$310.94
Margin of Safety-75.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.48%
Computed WACC: 8.48%
Cost of equity (Re)9.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)3.11%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.18%
Debt weight (D/V)15.82%

Results

Current Price$310.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.9%
Historical Revenue Growth3.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-19.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.38B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $12.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$247.20
Current Price$310.94
Upside / Downside-20.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.41B
Current: 20.2×
Default: $9.94B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$336.26
Current Price$310.94
Upside / Downside+8.1%
Implied EV$68.95B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.94B$7.94B$9.94B$11.94B$13.94B
16.2x$281.41$270.02$258.62$247.22$235.83
18.2x$320.23$308.84$297.44$286.05$274.65
20.2x$359.06$347.66$336.26$324.87$313.47
22.2x$397.88$386.48$375.09$363.69$352.29
24.2x$436.70$425.30$413.91$402.51$391.12