PSMT

PSMT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($157.42)
DCF$67.79-56.9%
Graham Number$69.11-56.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 24.6%
DDM$28.84-81.7%
EV/EBITDA$153.54-2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $89.86M
Rev: 9.9% / EPS: 6.6%
Computed: 7.91%
Computed WACC: 7.91%
Cost of equity (Re)8.45%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.59%
Debt weight (D/V)6.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$82.55
Current Price$157.42
Upside / Downside-47.6%
Net Debt (used)$11.86M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.9%5.9%9.9%13.9%17.9%
7.0%$70.38$84.24$100.27$118.72$139.87
8.0%$57.23$68.31$81.12$95.85$112.71
9.0%$48.14$57.32$67.91$80.07$93.98
10.0%$41.49$49.27$58.25$68.54$80.31
11.0%$36.42$43.14$50.89$59.76$69.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.89
Yahoo: $43.41

Results

Graham Number$69.11
Current Price$157.42
Margin of Safety-56.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.91%
Computed WACC: 7.91%
Cost of equity (Re)8.45%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.59%
Debt weight (D/V)6.41%

Results

Current Price$157.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.9%
Historical Revenue Growth9.9%
Historical Earnings Growth6.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$89.86M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$157.42
Upside / Downside-81.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $333.60M
Current: 14.2×
Default: $11.86M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$153.54
Current Price$157.42
Upside / Downside-2.5%
Implied EV$4.74B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$988.14M$11.86M$1.01B$2.01B
10.2x$175.14$142.68$110.23$77.78$45.33
12.2x$196.79$164.34$131.88$99.43$66.98
14.2x$218.44$185.99$153.54$121.08$88.63
16.2x$240.09$207.64$175.19$142.74$110.29
18.2x$261.74$229.29$196.84$164.39$131.94