PYPL

PYPL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($45.63)
DCF$425.16+831.8%
Graham Number$51.77+13.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 0.4%
DDM$11.54-74.7%
EV/EBITDA$45.63-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.27B
Rev: 3.7% / EPS: 39.4%
Computed: 9.40%
Computed WACC: 9.40%
Cost of equity (Re)12.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.64%
Debt weight (D/V)22.36%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$394.12
Current Price$45.63
Upside / Downside+763.7%
Net Debt (used)$1.87B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term31.4%35.4%39.4%43.4%47.4%
7.0%$499.11$578.34$667.39$767.14$878.54
8.0%$391.98$453.92$523.51$601.44$688.45
9.0%$318.73$368.86$425.16$488.19$558.54
10.0%$265.75$307.35$354.04$406.31$464.62
11.0%$225.83$261.00$300.47$344.63$393.89

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.41
Yahoo: $22.02

Results

Graham Number$51.77
Current Price$45.63
Margin of Safety+13.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.40%
Computed WACC: 9.40%
Cost of equity (Re)12.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.64%
Debt weight (D/V)22.36%

Results

Current Price$45.63
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.4%
Historical Revenue Growth3.7%
Historical Earnings Growth39.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.27B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$45.63
Upside / Downside-74.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.65B
Current: 6.6×
Default: $1.87B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.63
Current Price$45.63
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$43.88B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.87B$1.87B$1.87B$1.87B$1.87B
2.6x$16.74$16.74$16.74$16.74$16.74
4.6x$31.19$31.19$31.19$31.19$31.19
6.6x$45.63$45.63$45.63$45.63$45.63
8.6x$60.07$60.07$60.07$60.07$60.07
10.6x$74.52$74.52$74.52$74.52$74.52